Donald Trump Gets Good Sign from America’s Most Accurate Pollster

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is very narrowly leading Democratic presidential hopeful Kamala Harris in new polling by The New York Times/Siena College, which has been ranked as the most accurate pollster in the U.S.

Democrats have seen a surge in enthusiasm and a significant boost in the polls since President Joe Biden made the unprecedented decision to drop out of the 2024 president race on July 21, endorsing his vice president, Harris, to replace him at the top of the ticket. However, the race has remained close, with most polls showing Harris or Trump only narrowly ahead within the margin of error, or tied.

The new polling from Times/Siena shows Trump with 48 percent support and Harris with 47 percent, giving the Republican a 1 point lead over the Democrat. The poll included 1,695 voters nationwide and has a margin of error of 2.8 points, meaning the race appears to be a statistical tie.

ABC News’ polling analysis site 538 has ranked Times/Siena as the nation’s most accurate pollster. The ranking evaluates pollster on empirical accuracy and methodological transparency, combining these two factors to score the list.

This is a developing story and will be updated with additional information.